Astute readers will recall a debate from this morning about what the political science experts, including Larry Sabato and Alan Abramowitz over at the Crystal Ball, are predicting for this year’s midterm.
Sabato calls it at +55R for the House and +8R for the Senate. The House forecast is slightly increased of his Labor Day call of +47R. Not much change was expected, since Sabato and Abramowitz et al. make their calls based on the more stable political forces nationwide rather than day-to-day polling data.
Either Abramowitz does not believe his own model, or he has a different interpretation of the Gallup data than one of our commentators at 538refugees, who believes that Abramowitz’ data points to a +65R or +70R election.