by Mr. Universe
Well, either Gallup has run off the rails or they are predicting the ‘tsunami’ we’ve all been hearing about.
“The fact that Gallup has produced what is arguably the outlier of the final polls is extraordinary. And if Gallup is right, it implies an almost unprecedented Republican sweep on Tuesday. As Emory University political scientist Alan Abramowitz explains via email, “Republicans have never had anything close to a 15-point popular vote margin in the past 80 years.” Their biggest national margin in that period was “7 points in 1946, followed by a 6 point margin in 1994.” A 15-point majority this year, he adds, “would probably result in a gain of close to 80 seats and between 250 and 260 GOP seats in the new House, more than in any Congress since the 1920s.”
I really find that hard to believe. I refuse to believe we’re this stupid.