(Red Right Returning, a nautical mnemonic for the side of the buoy or marker on which to pilot a ship in order to stay in the channel, is a look back at the activity of the past week of the Republican candidates in the 2012 primary. Feel free to voice your opinions in the comment section.)
Mitt Romney predictably won the Illinois primary. Or rather he won Chicago over a bunch of surrounding cornfields. This was not surprising as Chicago is not known for voting conservative even by Republican standards. The nation is beginning to accept that Romney is a moderate despite what his campaign would have us believe.
Louisiana, on the other hand, holds its primary today. Rick Santorum is favoured to win in Cajun country. It’s a similar set of circumstances. New Orleans is like Chicago only in Louisiana it means the evangelicals will prevail. Newt Gingrich might have a chance at third place but we’re getting close to Texas where Ron Paul has reign. Plus, this is where Buddy Roemer hails. Could Roemer get enough votes to place instead of Gingrich or Paul? Polling tends to leave him out of their results so we could see a surprise in that regard.
With most of the primaries/caucuses in the bag, 538Refugees has already called the nomination for Mitt Romney but with Santorum’s rising notoriety, Romney’s failure to close the deal, Gingrich’s obstinate refusal to get out of the race, and the ever-present spectacle of Ron Paul, it’s easy to see any number of outcomes.
Unless there is a surprise, Rick Santorum wins Louisiana. But the delegates are proportionally allocated so it won’t help him much in the big picture.